枯木可逢春
枯木可逢春
Shione Black Powder Group Leader
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To be honest with you, although I had impressive returns in gold and forex trading before, I have been in debt since 2016 and remained so for many years. Without the constant support of my family and friends, I would have jumped off a building long ago. Around 2020, my trading started to improve, but the capital was at most a million, just a few hundred thousand US dollars. My real breakthrough in overcoming the capital bottleneck and achieving financial freedom began in August 2024, growing from a few thousand dollars to several million dollars. I have previously shared trading reports and transcripts starting from zero, which everyone can check for themselves. Many people, including myself, fell into a vicious cycle: when you have financial pressure in reality, you don't want to miss any trading opportunity, you disregard long-term trends, and you naively hope to win through high-frequency trading to escape your current financial situation. If you make money, that's great; but once you hit stop losses back and forth, your mindset explodes, making things worse, and the cycle keeps repeating. Why not slow down? Feel the trend. When you calm down and watch the slow growth of your account balance, it might not solve your urgent problems immediately, but your mindset will become steadier over time. This way, things will go more smoothly, and one day, you will definitely reach the shore.
From 2016 to 2024, over 7-8 years, my trading style has actually always been day trading with short-term positions, holding at most 2-3 days, basically focusing on the 1-4H timeframe. When the rhythm is right, the profits can be so good they numb your hands, but when profits retract or the market doesn't meet expectations, there’s often a big pullback. This causes my mindset to explode, then I take some time to reflect deeply. This cycle repeats over and over, causing huge fluctuations in both my account balance and mindset, and I couldn’t break through the bottleneck mentally or financially. I’ve reflected before and realized I’m actually a rather aggressive trader, and my self-discipline is somewhat lacking. Making money is easy, but controlling drawdowns is hard, and controlling drawdowns over a long time is even harder. So I envy those traders who do short-term trading for years without much drawdown. Later, by chance, I got results from trend trading and started looking down on day trading because trading every day really isn’t as worthwhile as waiting for a good opportunity and then going all in. When I say going all in, I don’t mean risking your entire net worth, but rather using a portion of your capital, like 2% or 5%, to play with high leverage. The trading system is the same, just the signal timeframe is different, so the holding period varies. My current holding time is also not fixed, but I still try to avoid high-frequency trading because the more you trade, the more mistakes you make. Now that my mindset is better and I’m less impatient, I just patiently wait for a trend reversal point, then go all in—either I get liquidated or make multiple times profit.
Whether it's US stocks, crude oil, gold, or crypto, I've actually repeated my views from a few days ago many times in my tweets. I can't feed you the information directly; you need to discover it for yourself. There are still many people who oppose this, and all I can say is thank you to those people.
Talking about the upcoming market trends, gold at 4400 has reached the first target level, and it might drop below 4000 later. Originally, I planned to take profits in batches since the leverage is too high, so I decided to secure profits first and then consider re-entering based on the situation.
As for BTC and ETH, I am gradually taking profits in batches at 77000, 73000, and 70000. Whether it can break 60000 is uncertain; I'll take it step by step.
Crude oil is the key focus next. I actually expect it to break above 150 USD. I won't take profits on my crude oil orders; I want to take a gamble. K @Keyshotvv advised me to pay attention to domestic chemical futures, fuel oil, and asphalt. I took a quick look, and the patterns look good. However, I haven't logged into my futures account for years, and I need to go to the bank to set up third-party custody, so I'll just let it go.


