分析:美债收益率现失控迹象,沃什任初面临“大考”

Odaily星球日报讯 美国国债市场近期剧烈波动,使即将上任的美联储主席凯文·沃什面临上任初期的重要考验。
法国兴业银行美洲研究主管苏布德拉·拉贾帕(Subadra Rajappa)在 5 月 15 日接受彭博电视采访时表示,受通胀加速预期影响,债券收益率走势已出现明显异常。
拉贾帕指出,由伊朗战争引发的能源价格飙升,正在加剧美国的通胀压力,这将使沃什推动降息的空间受到限制,而这一政策方向此前既是他本人支持的,也是美国总统特朗普所要求的。她直言:“我开始有点担心,因为债券收益率看起来确实有些失控了,我们应该认真关注债市释放的信号。”
利率市场的预期也迅速转向。彭博汇编数据显示,交易员目前预计美联储在 12 月前加息的概率接近三分之二。而就在 2 月 27 日,即美国与以色列对伊朗采取军事行动前一天,市场还普遍押注年内将有超过两次降息。(金十)
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