分析:SpaceX IPO或扩大纳指BTC敞口,但可能对科技股与比特币资金虹吸形成短期利空

BlockBeats 消息,5 月 22 日,分析师 Yashu Gola表示,SpaceX 计划于 6 月进行 750 亿美元 IPO,若上市后估值达到 1.75 万亿至 2 万亿美元,可能通过纳斯达克「快速纳入」规则在 15 个交易日内进入纳斯达克 100 指数,并扩大该指数对比特币的敞口。
根据 SpaceX 最新 S-1 文件,其持有 18,712 枚 BTC,价值约 14.5 亿美元。若加上特斯拉持有的 11,509 枚 BTC,马斯克旗下两家公司将成为纳斯达克 100 中重要的比特币资产持有者。Strategy CEO Phong Le 表示:「随着 SpaceX IPO,Mag 7 将变成 Mag 8,其中 25% 的公司资产负债表上将持有比特币。」不过,分析师 Nic Puckrin 认为,SpaceX IPO 或对科技股构成「坏消息」。由于被纳入纳斯达克 100 后,被动基金需买入 SpaceX 并卖出英伟达、苹果、微软等现有成分股,可能形成大规模资金虹吸效应。
报道称,比特币近期与大型科技股走势高度相关,BTC 与 Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)的 30 日相关性目前约为 0.81。分析认为,若科技股因指数再平衡承压,比特币短期也可能面临下行风险。
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