分析:霍尔木兹海峡通航临近,静待需求回补

Odaily星球日报讯 中信证券认为,美伊越来越临近于达成协议,市场基本已将此作为基准情形定价。达成协议后最大的变化是供需同时回补和经济活动迅速转暖,当前一些经济指标明显偏弱,反映的是临近美伊协议和霍尔木兹海峡通航前的需求延后,微观主体都在等而非急于补库和开工,这是非正常的扰动,随着协议达成和海峡恢复通航,供需都会归位,6 月以后经济活动会有明显改观,而宏观变量的变化也会使得市场策略的环境假设发生变化,风格会逐步均衡化。
大资金的减持趋于尾声,宏观稳定下来后配置型资金也将逐步回归,推动一些低估值板块修复。配置上继续主动降波,重构 AI+能化的杠铃结构。(金十)
Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more
Replies
Related Flash News
The stablecoin market value has surpassed $322 billion, with foreign exchange reserves exceeding 95 countries
TRX broke through $0.375, setting a new high for the year
ZEC pulled back 8.5% intraday, and a major whale in Hyperliquid was forced down for $1.48 million after 'buying long on dips.'
Google's fake crypto ads persist despite repeated crackdowns, and phishing sites imitating Uniswap have stolen another $400,000
On Hyperliquid, HYPE spot TWAP orders shifted to selling pressure, with net selling pressure reaching $1.7 million in the next 24 hours
UAE giant IHC completed its first institutional-grade dirham stablecoin transaction, amounting to 30 million USD
10x Research: Most Bitcoin treasury companies have significantly compressed their NAV premiums and may enter an era of negative premiums
Slow Mist Cosine: The Squid security incident issue is not with the private key; the Safe wallet module has vulnerabilities as shown in the figure
Bitcoin has entered a high-risk range, and the continued withdrawal of institutional funds highlights concerns about selling pressure
Data: Whales opened $40.26 million in BTC short positions and held $33.3 million in ZEC long positions



