分析师:价值16亿美元比特币期权今日到期,波动预期较低

BlockBeats 消息,5 月 22 日,据 Greeks.live 数据显示,5 月 22 日总计有 2.1 万张 BTC 期权到期,Put Call Ratio 为 0.66,最大痛点 78,500 美元,名义价值 16 亿美元。
此外,12.9 万张 ETH 期权也将于今日到期,Put Call Ratio 为 0.92,最大痛点 2200 美元,名义价值 2.8 亿美元。
Greeks.live 分析师 Adam 表示,本周比特币结束了持续一个半月的反弹,但盘面支撑仍然较强。行情较为平淡,市场关注度不高,本周仅有不足 5% 的 BTC 期权到期,而 ETH 也仅有 5% 的期权到期。BTC 交割体量不大,最大痛点贴近现价,交割附近的 Gamma / pin 效应更强;ETH 交割量仅为上周的一半,现价低于最大痛点,本月 ETH 期权短暂的占比上升行情结束,交割后短期 IV 大概率回落。
从主要期权数据看,Skew 继续小幅下降,主要期限期权 IV 和上周相比明显下降,降幅超过 RV 的降幅,故 VRP 有所上升。比特币主要期限 IV 全面跌破 35%,ETH 的主要期限 IV 也全面跌破 50%,短期会更低一些。
大宗以结构化交易为主,巨鲸们不断建仓短期低成本保护性仓位,波动预期较低,市场整体的热度低于预期。
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