「新股神」Serenity二月预判精准兑现：捕捉韩股期权波动率错配赚超4倍
BlockBeats 消息，5 月 26 日，新晋「小盘科技股神」Serenity 复盘通过波动率套利韩国指数期权成功盈利。其表示，早在 2 月 13 日提出的 EWY（iShares MSCI 韩国 ETF）看涨期权交易逻辑已完全兑现，目前已实现 300% 以上涨幅，仓位获得超 4 倍回报。Serenity 认为 EWY 成分股以三星电子和 SK 海力士为主，两大内存巨头均为高波动资产，隐含波动率估算为 65-80%，但整个指数期权却被严重低估，仅错误定价在 32% 左右，远低于谷歌和亚马逊。做市商过度依赖历史低波动数据，忽略了 AI 内存超级周期带来的新常态高波动。
Serenity 称，盈利主要来自标的上涨叠加波动率重定价的双重驱动。期间尽管市场充斥能源危机、韩国股指泡沫等唱空噪音，但内存超级周期持续兑现，三星与 SK 海力士疯狂印钞。
BlockBeats 注：Serenity 为 Reddit 论坛 WallStreetBets（WSB）板块颇具影响力的资深交易员，本年度累计投资收益率逾 38 倍。其核心研究成果均坚持免费公开，研究框架聚焦于英伟达 AI 芯片产业链中的关键配套环节，通过深入梳理芯片制造与封装过程中不可或缺的「螺丝钉」型组件，精准识别供应链中的关键瓶颈点（Chokepoint），并据此挖掘具备稀缺性与议价能力的上游标的进行布局。
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